Trump's Response to BRICS' De-dollarization Efforts and the Global Shift Towards Gold
ClearValue Tax
Summary:
This video discusses the BRICS alliance's efforts to challenge the US dollar's global dominance, President Trump's reaction, and the broader trend of de-dollarization, emphasizing the shift towards gold as a reserve asset.
BRICS' Challenge to US Global Dominance [0:00]
BRICS, an alliance of countries, aims to challenge the United States' international dominance in trade and finance.
- The recent BRICS annual meeting in Brazil (July 6-7) concluded with a 31-page statement from leaders. [0:13]
- This statement reaffirmed commitments to fair trade, policy reform, and pledges of cooperation. [0:37]
- The speaker interprets these actions as attempts to undermine the US dollar. [0:48]
Trump's Reaction: Tariff Threat and Dollar's Importance [0:51]
President Trump reacted strongly to the BRICS developments, issuing a threat via social media.
- Trump stated that any country aligning with BRICS' "anti-American policies" would face an additional 10% tariff without exception. [0:59]
- He explicitly stated that BRICS was established to "hurt us" and "degenerate our dollar." [1:31]
- Trump emphasized that losing the US dollar's status as the world standard would be akin to "losing a major world war" and would fundamentally change the United States. [2:53]
- He asserted that the dollar is "king" and vows to maintain its dominant position. [3:07]
The US Dollar's Current Status and Vulnerabilities [2:15]
Despite its current dominance, the US dollar is showing signs of weakening.
- The dollar is experiencing its "worst year in the past 50 years" due to devaluation. [2:24]
- If the US dollar were dethroned as the world's reserve asset, it would be devastating for Americans, leading to accelerated inflation and significantly higher interest rates. [2:33]
BRICS' De-dollarization Strategies [3:12]
BRICS nations are implementing key strategies to reduce reliance on the US dollar.
- Settling trade in local currencies: BRICS is not trying to create a new BRICS currency but is focusing on bilateral trade using their own national currencies. [3:32]
- Approximately 90% of commerce among BRICS nations is now settled in local currencies, a significant increase from 65% just two years prior. [3:46]
- Creating alternatives to SWIFT: BRICS is developing new international payment systems to bypass the current SWIFT system, which is dominated by Europe and the US. [3:58]
- BRICS Pay: A payment system specifically for BRICS countries. [4:07]
- mBridge: An international payment system not limited to BRICS countries, which has reached "minimum viable product" (MVP) status. [4:12]
- In 2024, the UAE successfully sent 50 million dirhams to China via mBridge in 10 seconds, demonstrating its operational capability. [5:02]
- As of July 2025, the MVP phase is complete, with pilot transactions ongoing and new participants being accepted for the commercial readiness phase. [5:17]
- These alternatives aim to prevent countries from being "locked out" of the global banking system, as happened to Russia in 2022. [4:18]
The Global Shift Towards Gold as a Reserve Asset [5:32]
The primary concern for the United States is the potential loss of the dollar's status as the world's reserve asset, leading countries to hold wealth in gold instead.
- Central banks worldwide are decreasing their holdings of US Treasury securities. [6:24]
- US Treasury securities held by foreign central banks are at the same level as 13 years ago, not adjusted for inflation, indicating a relative decline in real terms. [6:38]
- This trend means higher interest rates for the US, burdening consumers and the US government, which holds $37 trillion in debt. [6:52]
- If foreign countries do not buy US government IOUs, the Federal Reserve will have to print trillions of dollars to buy them, further devaluing the dollar. [7:14]
- Increased Gold Purchases by Central Banks: Instead of US bonds, central banks have been net buyers of gold for 15 consecutive years, with purchases significantly ramping up in the past three years. [7:27]
- This shift is partly driven by global financial reforms. [7:43]
Impact of Basel III on Gold's Role [7:59]
The Basel III reforms, implemented by the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) effective July 1, 2025, are reinstating physical gold's importance in the international financial system.
- Basel III rules make physical gold a "Tier 1 asset," meaning banks holding physical gold can lend out a higher percentage (e.g., $90 for every $100 of physical gold). [7:59]
- In contrast, "paper gold" (e.g., contracts) has higher funding requirements, limiting lending capacity (e.g., $15 for every $100 of paper gold). [8:23]
- This regulatory change incentivizes banks to favor physical gold, driving increased demand for its physical delivery. [8:42]
China's Strategic Expansion in the Gold Market [9:15]
Gold is central to the BRICS plan to challenge the US dollar, and China is actively expanding its influence in the global gold market.
- While major international gold markets are COMEX (New York) and LBMA (London), China's Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) has been limited due to currency controls. [9:01]
- China is now expanding its gold market internationally, beginning with Hong Kong. [9:28]
- Hong Kong, as a special administrative region, offers an international jurisdiction for trade and finance despite being politically part of China. [9:35]
- The SGE has opened its first offshore physical gold delivery vaults in Hong Kong to increase international participation. [9:50]
- This is seen as a strategic first step, with China planning to open gold vaults globally (e.g., Dubai, Singapore, across Asia, Africa, and the Middle East) as part of the BRICS Pay settlement pilots. [10:02]
- This broader trend suggests a global move towards a gold standard where gold, not US dollars or government debt, becomes the world's primary reserve asset. [10:17]
Conclusion: The De-dollarization Process [10:28]
The process of de-dollarization is not solely driven by BRICS but is being accelerated by their actions.
- President Trump's tariff threats are an attempt to slow this process, but it remains uncertain if this will succeed or inadvertently accelerate de-dollarization. [10:28]
- De-dollarization is a continuous process, not a singular event. [10:54]
- Gold is anticipated to be a significant component of the emerging new global monetary system. [11:03]